The VIX collapsed from 22.22 on June 10 to ~16.5 by month-end (16.45 June 30, 16.59 July 1), well below the >25 vol-expansion trigger, as the ceasefire removed the war tail and equities steadied.
Provenance — node opacity = source trust
- Evidence Strength
Strong
- Evidence Observed At
- Jul 1, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Citation
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VIXCLS
- Citation Source
fed-press
- Indicator
VIX Close
- Indicator Value
- 16.59
- Indicator Period
- July 1 2026