iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
target weight-4.40%
directionShort
roleInverse Expression
Second short and eleventh weight at -4.40%, up 5.0% from -4.19%. The policy-rate component it captures is now fact - 
3.75-4.00% with 
a 4.1% median for both 2026 and 2027 - and 
the alignment raised it in both baskets (0.72 to 0.74, 0.58 to 0.60). Kept below TLT because a delivered hike plus one fully projected leaves the belly with less unpriced move than the long end. Dedupes exactly as TLT does: identical driver set across its two theses, each channel counted once.
vs 1.1.4-0.00 —
Theses funding this position
Every thesis whose alignment contributed weight here; edge weight is the thesis own confidence.
- held security
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF- holding direction
Short- holding role
Inverse Expression- serves thesis
Hawkish Warsh regime and higher-for-longer, 
Stagflation risk and Fed independence stress