Economic Data Evidence

The BEA's third estimate of second-quarter 2026 real GDP, published September 30 with the annual update, was 2.2% annualised, revised up from 1.5% in both the advance and second estimates, and the Q3 advance release of October 29 restates Q2 at 2.2%. This corrects ev-q2-gdp-third-estimate-3pct-sep24 in 4.0.4, which recorded a 3.0% third estimate released September 24 from secondary search reporting that does not match the BEA's published series; that instance is retained for the audit trail rather than edited.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 30, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/gdp-advance-estimate-3rd-quarter-2026
Citation Source
US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Indicator Value
2.2
Indicator Period
Q2 2026 third estimate