Market Data Evidence

The commodity led the energy complex this window: USO closed 168.19 on October 29 2026 against 153.56 on October 14 (+9.5%), while XOM rose 3.5% to 183.29, CVX 4.2% to 231.46 and XLE 1.6% to 68.71. The reversal of the prior window - when the producers re-rated 8-9% on a flat crude price - is consistent with a premium now being re-struck in the spot market by the collapse of Hormuz transits.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Oct 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Citation
https://api.polygon.io/v2/aggs/ticker/USO/range/1/day/2026-10-14/2026-10-30
Citation Source
Massive
Market Metric
Close Price
Observed Value
168.19
About Security
United States Oil Fund