Official Statement Evidence

New York Fed President John Williams said on September 29 2026 that there was no need for urgency on further tightening, while still expecting one more hike late this year - read as December rather than October. CME FedWatch odds of an October hike fell from about 70% earlier that week to 50% after the remarks and to about 35% after the next day's PCE release. As New York Fed president, Williams is the Committee's vice chair, so the remark carries the weight of the leadership rather than of a single dissenter.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Moderate
Evidence Observed At
Sep 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Citation
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/pce-inflation-eases-to-34--cooling-the-case-for-another-fed-rate-hike-125513195.html
Citation Source
yahoo-finance
Statement Venue
Public remarks
Statement Date
Sep 29, 2026