Economic Data Evidence

July 2026 core PCE inflation was revised down to 3.0% year-over-year from the 3.3% first reported on August 26, as part of the BEA's annual methodology update published with the August release on September 30. The revision means core annual inflation did not fall between July and August on the revised series; the decline relative to the first print is a measurement change, not a new disinflation.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 30, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC
Citation
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/pce-inflation-eases-to-34--cooling-the-case-for-another-fed-rate-hike-125513195.html
Citation Source
yahoo-finance
Indicator
Core PCE YoY
Indicator Value
3
Indicator Period
July 2026