Economic Data Evidence

The third estimate of second-quarter 2026 real GDP, released September 24, confirmed annualised growth of 3.0%, unchanged from the second estimate, up from the 2.8% advance estimate and from 1.4% in the first quarter. Released the same week as a five-year-high flash PMI, the print leaves no recessionary signal in the output data.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 24, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Citation Source
bea-press
Indicator Value
3
Indicator Period
Q2 2026 third estimate