Market Data Evidence

Ahead of Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote, markets priced roughly one-in-three odds of a rate HIKE at the September 16 FOMC - a live tightening bias rather than a pause, three weeks out.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Moderate
Evidence Observed At
Aug 28, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC
Citation
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/warshs-jackson-hole-speech-course-050258340.html
Citation Source
yahoo-finance
Market Metric
Rate Path Expectations
Observed Value
0.33