Economic Data Evidence

The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index registered 71.1% in August 2026, unchanged from July and just below the 72 expected, signalling broad and persistent increases in manufacturers' input costs even as headline activity moderated. Input-price pressure holding flat at a level this elevated, while oil round-trips back to $90, is the passthrough channel the stagflation thesis depends on.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 1, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-states-ism-manufacturing-prices-paid-registered-at-711-below-expectations-72-in-august-202609011400
Citation Source
Institute for Supply Management
Indicator Value
71.1
Indicator Period
August 2026