Traders priced a 92% probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 16 meeting as of September 14 2026, up from 60.6% on September 8, as the August CPI print and the renewed disruption to Middle East oil flows reinforced hike expectations.
Provenance — node opacity = source trust
- Evidence Strength
Strong- Evidence Observed At
- Sep 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC
- Citation
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-14/gold-holds-losses-as-higher-oil-stokes-september-rate-hike-bets
- Citation Source
bloomberg- Market Metric
Rate Path Expectations- Observed Value
- 0.92