Economic Data Evidence

Core PPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% in August against a 0.3% forecast - softer-than-expected pipeline pressure in the measure the Committee weights most for underlying trend. This is the first genuinely disinflationary surprise in the data since the Jackson Hole keynote, and the reason a dovish hold on September 16 remains live despite the headline.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_09102026.htm
Citation Source
bls-press
Indicator Value
0.2
Indicator Period
August 2026