Economic Data Evidence

Average hourly earnings for all private nonfarm employees rose 10 cents, or 0.3%, to $37.75 in August, up 3.1% year-over-year. Against an August headline CPI consensus of 3.4%, that leaves real wages negative - the consumer-squeeze marker of a stagflationary mix even while payroll growth is strong.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
Sep 4, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Citation Source
bls-press
Indicator Value
3.1
Indicator Period
August 2026