Market Data Evidence

VIX closed Monday May 18 at 18.43, DOWN from Friday's ~19 - inside the 15-20 mid-zone, well below the 25 vol-expansion threshold. The Polymarket 6% Up-open framing implied a vol expansion that did not materialize.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
May 18, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/
Citation Source
cnbc
About Security
CBOE Volatility Index
Market Metric
Close Price
Observed Value
18.43