Market Data Evidence

WTI crude fell below $88 per barrel on Friday May 29 and was on track for a sharp monthly loss of roughly 20% from its 2026 peak (its worst month since the COVID crash), after reports the US and Iran had tentatively agreed to extend the ceasefire 60 days and possibly permit unrestricted Strait of Hormuz shipping. WTI still sits well above the <$80-for-30-days invalidation threshold.

Provenance — node opacity = source trust
Evidence Strength
Strong
Evidence Observed At
May 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Citation
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/29/oil-prices-iran-ceasefire-us-trump-strait-hormuz-energy-costs.html
Citation Source
cnbc
Market Metric
Close Price
Observed Value
87.5