CME FedWatch hike-by-December odds moved to ~56% from ~36% Thursday and ~16% a week earlier - a 20pp single-day repricing.
Provenance — node opacity = source trust
- Evidence Strength
Strong- Evidence Observed At
- May 15, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC
- Citation
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
- Citation Source
cnbc- Market Metric
Rate Path Expectations- Observed Value
- 0.56