Snapshots

Worldview snapshots

Every published snapshot, newest first. Each entry is a self-contained record of theses, evidence, and invalidation conditions at a single point in time — immutable once published.

All snapshots

  1. 7 theses

    Macro state as of May 8 2026. Seven theses dominate allocation: Iran rearmament cycle still in motion despite peace progress; energy premium has eased materially as the 2-week ceasefire holds (WTI $95.33, Brent ~$100); stagflation pressure abating modestly with oil retreat but Fed faces transition stress with Warsh full Senate vote scheduled Monday May 11; gold structural bid remains intact (above $4,700, Q1 central-bank buying a record 244 tonnes); AI capex thesis confirmed strong by AMD and NVDA Q1 prints; equity melt-up extending (SPX 7,389.24 fresh ATH, VIX 17.18); Powell-to-Warsh handoff window now days away.