iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
target weight-5.05%
directionShort
roleInverse Expression
5.05% short, down from 5.21% (-3.1%). The short shrinks: Stagflation risk and Fed independence stress eased to 0.86 and the alignment eased the short in both baskets after
TLT rose 3.3% as the long end retraced. Driver-union dedup:
inflation-debasement is shared, counted once at Stagflation risk and Fed independence stress;
rate-path is shared, counted once at Hawkish Warsh regime and higher-for-longer;
monetary-credibility is shared, counted once at Hawkish Warsh regime and higher-for-longer, while its other channels add.
vs 1.1.7+0.00 —
Theses funding this position
Every thesis whose alignment contributed weight here; edge weight is the thesis own confidence.
- held security
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- holding direction
Short
- holding role
Inverse Expression
- serves thesis
Stagflation risk and Fed independence stress,
Hawkish Warsh regime and higher-for-longer